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U.S. House · Oregon · Nov 3 · 7 days out
Oregon House, district 2
Cliff Bentz (Republican, incumbent) against Chris Beck (Democrat / Independent Party).
Where they stand · 38 points apart
Beck is an estimateSolid is a voting record; hollow is read from the campaign’s own words. Biggest gaps first.
Cliff BentzrecordChris Beckestimate
Money
FEC to Sep 30RaisedBentz$1.3MBeck$256kItemized, named donorsBentz$428kBeck$167kNamed donorsBentz345Beck244Itemized from OregonBentz75%Beck82%
The FEC doesn't name donors who give under $200, so their gifts count in Raised but not Itemized.
In their own words
Campaign sites and X“"THE PEOPLE OF RURAL OREGON DESERVE A REPRESENTATIVE WHO SHOWS UP."”
“restore the mountain of funding it stripped away from Medicaid and SNAP benefits.” Beck · Campaign site · Sep 30 · ↗
All market contracts · Kalshi and Polymarket · 4
| Candidate | Platform | Contract | Bid | Ask | Last | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cliff Bentz | Kalshi | Republican wins | 96% | 98% | 97% | $1,318 | Open ↗ |
| Cliff Bentz | Polymarket | Republican wins | 95% | 98% | 96% | $4,307 | Open ↗ |
| Chris Beck | Kalshi | Democrat wins | 2% | 4% | 4% | $626 | Open ↗ |
| Chris Beck | Polymarket | Democrat wins | 2% | 5% | 5% | $18,585 | Open ↗ |
Prices in cents on the dollar, read Oct 27, 2026. A party contract pays if that party wins the seat.
Also on the Oregon ballot
All 7 →Statement estimate · odds are a market close, not a poll