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Governor · Oregon · Nov 3 · 7 days out
Oregon Governor
Tina Kotek (Democrat / Working Families, incumbent) against Christine Drazan (Republican / Libertarian). Kotek is down 6 points on the markets since April.
Also running
Where they stand · 63 points apart
EstimatesHollow dots are read from each campaign’s own words; nobody here has a voting record yet. Biggest gaps first.
Tina KotekestimateChristine Drazanestimate
All market contracts · Kalshi and Polymarket · 4
| Candidate | Platform | Contract | Bid | Ask | Last | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tina Kotek | Kalshi | Democrat wins | 81% | 82% | 80% | $160,553 | Open ↗ |
| Tina Kotek | Polymarket | Democrat wins | 82% | 84% | 82% | $63,515 | Open ↗ |
| Christine Drazan | Kalshi | Republican wins | 19% | 20% | 20% | $307,022 | Open ↗ |
| Christine Drazan | Polymarket | Republican wins | 17% | 18% | 18% | $62,983 | Open ↗ |
Prices in cents on the dollar, read Oct 27, 2026. A party contract pays if that party wins the seat.
Also on the Oregon ballot
All 7 →Statement estimate · odds are a market close, not a poll