U.S. House · Oregon · Nov 3 · 7 days out

Oregon House, district 5

Janelle Bynum (Democrat, incumbent) against Patti Adair (Republican / Libertarian).

Janelle Bynum

Democrat · incumbent · record L-lean 22

97%party to win

vs.

Patti Adair

Republican / Libertarian · challenger · estimate Rt-lean 20

2%party to win

Where they stand · 42 points apart

Adair is an estimate

Solid is a voting record; hollow is read from the campaign’s own words. Biggest gaps first.

Janelle BynumrecordPatti Adairestimate

Issue · biggest gap firstLeftCenterRightApart

Overall

2220

42 pts

Crime and justice

2135

56 pts ▸

Energy, environment, land and agriculture

2230

52 pts ▸

Immigration

2428

51 pts ▸

Civil rights, gender and religion

2428

51 pts ▸

Federal budget, taxes and spending

2128

48 pts ▸

Business, finance and labor

2013

33 pts ▸

Housing, transportation, technology and vice

2411

13 pts ▸

Money

FEC to Sep 30

RaisedBynum

$4.6MAdair

$649kItemized, named donorsBynum

$2.2MAdair

$414kNamed donorsBynum

2,221Adair

349Itemized from OregonBynum

34%Adair

84%

The FEC doesn't name donors who give under $200, so their gifts count in Raised but not Itemized.

In their own words

Campaign sites and X

“We should be able to watch our kids bounce into school with their backpacks on and know we’ll get to hug them again.” Bynum · X post · Oct 20 · ↗

“ROOTED IN OREGON.”

“We also need to increase the limit for the Child Care Tax Credit.” Adair · X post · Jul 22 · ↗

All market contracts · Kalshi and Polymarket · 4

Candidate	Platform	Contract	Bid	Ask	Last	Volume
Janelle Bynum	Kalshi	Democrat wins	94%	96%	96%	$4,536	Open ↗
Janelle Bynum	Polymarket	Democrat wins	96%	97%	97%	$23,294	Open ↗
Patti Adair	Kalshi	Republican wins	5%	6%	5%	$2,630	Open ↗
Patti Adair	Polymarket	Republican wins	3%	4%	2%	$11,346	Open ↗

Prices in cents on the dollar, read Oct 27, 2026. A party contract pays if that party wins the seat.

Also on the Oregon ballot

All 7 →

Senate

Merkley (D/WF) 98% · Smith (R) 2%

Governor

Kotek (D/WF) 80% · Drazan (R/L) 20%

House · OR-1

Bonamici (D/WF) 96% · Kahl (R) 3%

House · OR-2

Bentz (R) 96% · Beck (D/IP) 5%

House · OR-3

Dexter (D) 99% · Ayles (R) 4%

House · OR-4

Hoyle (D/WF) 95% · DeSpain (R/L) 4%

Statement estimate · odds are a market close, not a poll