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U.S. House · New York · Nov 3 · 7 days out
New York House, district 9
Yvette Clarke (Democrat, incumbent) against Joel Azumah (Republican / Constitution).
Where they stand · 54 points apart
Azumah is an estimateSolid is a voting record; hollow is read from the campaign’s own words. Biggest gaps first.
Yvette ClarkerecordJoel Azumahestimate
Money
FEC to Sep 30RaisedClarke$1.2MAzumah—Itemized, named donorsClarke$454kAzumah—Named donorsClarke394Azumah—Itemized from New YorkClarke33%Azumah—
The FEC doesn't name donors who give under $200, so their gifts count in Raised but not Itemized.
In their own words
Campaign sites and X“A Justice Department that answers to a president’s political agenda instead of the rule of law is a threat to our democracy. With @IlhanMN on the ballot in just three weeks, Americans should be deeply alarmed by what we’re seeing.” Clarke · X post · Oct 12 · ↗
“Making America Great Again is not just a political slogan.”
“(1) Control the border.” Azumah · X post · Oct 12 · ↗
All market contracts · Kalshi and Polymarket · 4
| Candidate | Platform | Contract | Bid | Ask | Last | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yvette Clarke | Kalshi | Democrat wins | 97% | 99% | 98% | $3,219 | Open ↗ |
| Yvette Clarke | Polymarket | Democrat wins | 96% | 98% | 98% | $19,764 | Open ↗ |
| Joel Azumah | Kalshi | Republican wins | <1% | 2% | 1% | $568 | Open ↗ |
| Joel Azumah | Polymarket | Republican wins | 1% | 3% | 3% | $41,759 | Open ↗ |
Prices in cents on the dollar, read Oct 27, 2026. A party contract pays if that party wins the seat.
Also on the New York ballot
All 26 →Statement estimate · odds are a market close, not a poll