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U.S. House · New York · Nov 3 · 7 days out
New York House, district 25
Joe Morelle (Democrat / Working Families, incumbent) against Virginia McIntyre (Republican / Constitution).
Where they stand · 38 points apart
EstimatesHollow dots are read from each campaign’s own words; nobody here has a voting record yet. Biggest gaps first.
Joe MorelleestimateVirginia McIntyreestimate
Money
FEC to Sep 30RaisedMorelle$2.2MMcIntyre$47kItemized, named donorsMorelle$792kMcIntyre$27kNamed donorsMorelle708McIntyre43Itemized from New YorkMorelle73%McIntyre100%
The FEC doesn't name donors who give under $200, so their gifts count in Raised but not Itemized.
All market contracts · Kalshi and Polymarket · 4
| Candidate | Platform | Contract | Bid | Ask | Last | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joe Morelle | Kalshi | Democrat wins | 97% | 99% | 98% | $1,334 | Open ↗ |
| Joe Morelle | Polymarket | Democrat wins | 96% | 98% | 98% | $30,898 | Open ↗ |
| Virginia McIntyre | Kalshi | Republican wins | 1% | 3% | 3% | $370 | Open ↗ |
| Virginia McIntyre | Polymarket | Republican wins | 2% | 4% | 3% | $10,914 | Open ↗ |
Prices in cents on the dollar, read Oct 27, 2026. A party contract pays if that party wins the seat.
Also on the New York ballot
All 26 →Statement estimate · odds are a market close, not a poll