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U.S. House · New York · Nov 3 · 7 days out
New York House, district 24
Claudia Tenney (Republican / Constitution, incumbent) against Alissa Ellman (Democrat / Working Families).
Where they stand · 51 points apart
Ellman is an estimateSolid is a voting record; hollow is read from the campaign’s own words. Biggest gaps first.
Claudia TenneyrecordAlissa Ellmanestimate
Money
FEC to Sep 30RaisedTenney$3.1MEllman$416kItemized, named donorsTenney$745kEllman$197kNamed donorsTenney949Ellman344Itemized from New YorkTenney35%Ellman94%
The FEC doesn't name donors who give under $200, so their gifts count in Raised but not Itemized.
All market contracts · Kalshi and Polymarket · 4
| Candidate | Platform | Contract | Bid | Ask | Last | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Claudia Tenney | Kalshi | Republican wins | 95% | 97% | 97% | $9,036 | Open ↗ |
| Claudia Tenney | Polymarket | Republican wins | 96% | 97% | 96% | $25,129 | Open ↗ |
| Alissa Ellman | Kalshi | Democrat wins | 3% | 5% | 6% | $9,918 | Open ↗ |
| Alissa Ellman | Polymarket | Democrat wins | 3% | 4% | 4% | $27,022 | Open ↗ |
Prices in cents on the dollar, read Oct 27, 2026. A party contract pays if that party wins the seat.
Also on the New York ballot
All 26 →Statement estimate · odds are a market close, not a poll