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U.S. House · New York · Nov 3 · 7 days out
New York House, district 23
Nick Langworthy (Republican / Constitution, incumbent) against Aaron Gies (Democrat / Working Families).
Where they stand · 57 points apart
EstimatesHollow dots are read from each campaign’s own words; nobody here has a voting record yet. Biggest gaps first.
Nick LangworthyestimateAaron Giesestimate
Money
FEC to Sep 30RaisedLangworthy$2.6MGies$584kItemized, named donorsLangworthy$852kGies$378kNamed donorsLangworthy649Gies502Itemized from New YorkLangworthy71%Gies97%
The FEC doesn't name donors who give under $200, so their gifts count in Raised but not Itemized.
All market contracts · Kalshi and Polymarket · 4
| Candidate | Platform | Contract | Bid | Ask | Last | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nick Langworthy | Kalshi | Republican wins | 95% | 97% | 94% | $11,616 | Open ↗ |
| Nick Langworthy | Polymarket | Republican wins | 94% | 97% | 95% | $56,023 | Open ↗ |
| Aaron Gies | Kalshi | Democrat wins | 2% | 4% | 2% | $9,813 | Open ↗ |
| Aaron Gies | Polymarket | Democrat wins | 1% | 2% | 2% | $33,483 | Open ↗ |
Prices in cents on the dollar, read Oct 27, 2026. A party contract pays if that party wins the seat.
Also on the New York ballot
All 26 →Statement estimate · odds are a market close, not a poll