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U.S. House · New York · Nov 3 · 7 days out
New York House, district 16
George Latimer (Democrat, incumbent) against Joe Cinquemani (Republican).
Where they stand · 61 points apart
Cinquemani is an estimateSolid is a voting record; hollow is read from the campaign’s own words. Biggest gaps first.
George LatimerrecordJoe Cinquemaniestimate
Money
FEC to Sep 30RaisedLatimer$662kCinquemani—Itemized, named donorsLatimer$321kCinquemani—Named donorsLatimer383Cinquemani—Itemized from New YorkLatimer86%Cinquemani—
The FEC doesn't name donors who give under $200, so their gifts count in Raised but not Itemized.
In their own words
Campaign sites and X“For Congress. For New York.”
“Did you know that you can get regular updates from my office in your inbox? Sign up for my newsletter today to stay up to date! Follow this link here -” Latimer · X post · Oct 18 · ↗
“Ideas Not IdeologyDirection not Destination”
“My tax policy is simple: no income taxes on anyone under $38,000.” Cinquemani · X post · Aug 20 · ↗
All market contracts · Kalshi and Polymarket · 4
| Candidate | Platform | Contract | Bid | Ask | Last | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| George Latimer | Kalshi | Democrat wins | 96% | 98% | 99% | $532 | Open ↗ |
| George Latimer | Polymarket | Democrat wins | 95% | 98% | 98% | $31,074 | Open ↗ |
| Joe Cinquemani | Kalshi | Republican wins | 1% | 4% | 8% | $126 | Open ↗ |
| Joe Cinquemani | Polymarket | Republican wins | 2% | 4% | 1% | $10,746 | Open ↗ |
Prices in cents on the dollar, read Oct 27, 2026. A party contract pays if that party wins the seat.
Also on the New York ballot
All 26 →Statement estimate · odds are a market close, not a poll