U.S. House · New York · Nov 3 · 7 days out

New York House, district 10

Brad Lander (Democrat / Working Families) against Jennifer Moore (Republican / Constitution).

Democrat / Working Families · challenger · estimate Left 42

98%party to win

vs.

Republican / Constitution · challenger · estimate Right 23

1%party to win

Where they stand · 65 points apart

Estimates

Hollow dots are read from each campaign’s own words; nobody here has a voting record yet. Biggest gaps first.

Brad LanderestimateJennifer Mooreestimate

Issue · biggest gap firstLeftCenterRightApart

Overall

4223

65 pts

Foreign policy, trade and defense

4530

75 pts ▸

Immigration

4815

63 pts ▸

FEC to Sep 30

RaisedLander

$2.7MMoore

$3kItemized, named donorsLander

$1.9MMoore

$2kNamed donorsLander

1,839Moore

2Itemized from New YorkLander

68%Moore

100%

The FEC doesn't name donors who give under $200, so their gifts count in Raised but not Itemized.

Campaign sites and X

“Fight, Don't Fold”

“We must not keep funding Netanyahu’s wars.” Lander · X post · Jul 20 · ↗

“A real choice against radical ideology. Common sense for New York's 10th District.”

“I will always defend Iron Dome & stand with Israel” Moore · X post · Jul 19 · ↗

All market contracts · Kalshi and Polymarket · 4

Candidate	Platform	Contract	Bid	Ask	Last	Volume
Brad Lander	Kalshi	Democrat wins	97%	99%	99%	$696	Open ↗
Brad Lander	Polymarket	Democrat wins	95%	98%	98%	$17,311	Open ↗
Jennifer Moore	Kalshi	Republican wins	1%	2%	2%	$19,511	Open ↗
Jennifer Moore	Polymarket	Republican wins	<1%	3%	1%	$39,020	Open ↗

Prices in cents on the dollar, read Oct 27, 2026. A party contract pays if that party wins the seat.

Also on the New York ballot

Governor

House · NY-1

House · NY-2

House · NY-3

House · NY-4

House · NY-5

Statement estimate · odds are a market close, not a poll