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U.S. House · Minnesota · Nov 3 · 7 days out
Minnesota House, district 8
Pete Stauber (Republican, incumbent) against Trina Swanson (Democrat (DFL)).
Where they stand · 44 points apart
Swanson is an estimateSolid is a voting record; hollow is read from the campaign’s own words. Biggest gaps first.
Pete StauberrecordTrina Swansonestimate
Money
FEC to Sep 30RaisedStauber$2.5MSwanson$650kItemized, named donorsStauber$857kSwanson$389kNamed donorsStauber579Swanson566Itemized from MinnesotaStauber68%Swanson81%
The FEC doesn't name donors who give under $200, so their gifts count in Raised but not Itemized.
All market contracts · Kalshi and Polymarket · 4
| Candidate | Platform | Contract | Bid | Ask | Last | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pete Stauber | Kalshi | Republican wins | 83% | 84% | 84% | $10,462 | Open ↗ |
| Pete Stauber | Polymarket | Republican wins | 81% | 83% | 83% | $12,551 | Open ↗ |
| Trina Swanson | Kalshi | Democrat wins | 16% | 17% | 17% | $19,974 | Open ↗ |
| Trina Swanson | Polymarket | Democrat wins | 18% | 19% | 20% | $11,410 | Open ↗ |
Prices in cents on the dollar, read Oct 27, 2026. A party contract pays if that party wins the seat.
Also on the Minnesota ballot
All 9 →Statement estimate · odds are a market close, not a poll