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U.S. House · Minnesota · Nov 3 · 7 days out
Minnesota House, district 4
Betty McCollum (Democrat (DFL), incumbent) against Paul Wikstrom (Republican).
Where they stand · 66 points apart
Wikstrom is an estimateSolid is a voting record; hollow is read from the campaign’s own words. Biggest gaps first.
Betty McCollumrecordPaul Wikstromestimate
Money
FEC to Sep 30RaisedMcCollum$1.4MWikstrom$63kItemized, named donorsMcCollum$781kWikstrom$40kNamed donorsMcCollum399Wikstrom44Itemized from MinnesotaMcCollum48%Wikstrom99%
The FEC doesn't name donors who give under $200, so their gifts count in Raised but not Itemized.
In their own words
Campaign sites and X“Delivering for Minnesota families and communities every day!”
“Congressman Bruce Vento was a champion for our shared values as DFLers. It's my honor to represent the 4th District as he did in Congress and it was my pleasure to join @CD4_DFL in celebrating his legacy at the Bruce Vento Dinner.” McCollum · X post · Oct 14 · ↗
“LET'S FIX WASHINGTON”
“increase American energy, food and housing supply by reducing regulation and improving investment climate” Wikstrom · Campaign site · Sep 30 · ↗
All market contracts · Kalshi and Polymarket · 4
| Candidate | Platform | Contract | Bid | Ask | Last | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betty McCollum | Kalshi | Democrat wins | 96% | 98% | 98% | $17,913 | Open ↗ |
| Betty McCollum | Polymarket | Democrat wins | 96% | 98% | 98% | $9,056 | Open ↗ |
| Paul Wikstrom | Kalshi | Republican wins | 3% | 4% | 4% | $4,340 | Open ↗ |
| Paul Wikstrom | Polymarket | Republican wins | 2% | 4% | 4% | $20,386 | Open ↗ |
Prices in cents on the dollar, read Oct 27, 2026. A party contract pays if that party wins the seat.
Also on the Minnesota ballot
All 9 →Statement estimate · odds are a market close, not a poll