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Governor · Minnesota · Nov 3 · 7 days out

Minnesota Governor

Amy Klobuchar (Democrat (DFL)) against Lisa Demuth (Republican). Demuth is down 7 points on the markets since April.

Amy Klobuchar
Democrat (DFL) · in Congress · record Left 23
95%▲ 5 since April
vs.
Lisa Demuth
Republican · challenger · estimate Right 36
5%▼ 7 since April
100%90%80%70%60%50%40%30%20%10%0%MAYJUNJULAUGSEPOCTTODAY
100%75%50%25%0%MAYJUNJULAUGSEPTODAY
Party to win · Kalshi daily close, Oct 27All market contracts ▸

Where they stand · 59 points apart

Demuth is an estimate

Solid is a voting record; hollow is read from the campaign’s own words. Biggest gaps first.

Amy KlobucharrecordLisa Demuthestimate
Issue · biggest gap firstLeftCenterRightApart
Overall
2336
59 pts

In their own words

Campaign sites and X

“We do big things. This isn't just our past - it's our future. And I want to build that future together.”

“Before calling someone a “dirtbag,” the Senator should have had his facts straight. An apology is in order. Glad one of us knew the difference between the Atlanta Hawks and the Iowa Hawkeyes!” Klobuchar · X post · Sep 29 · ↗

“A Strong Minnesota”

“She will lower tax rates, reduce mandates and cut red tape.” Demuth · Campaign site · Sep 30 · ↗

All market contracts · Kalshi and Polymarket · 4
CandidatePlatformContractBidAskLastVolume
Amy KlobucharKalshiDemocrat wins95%95%95%$226,728Open ↗
Amy KlobucharPolymarketDemocrat wins94%96%97%$51,033Open ↗
Lisa DemuthKalshiRepublican wins5%5%5%$374,182Open ↗
Lisa DemuthPolymarketRepublican wins4%5%5%$53,130Open ↗
Prices in cents on the dollar, read Oct 27, 2026. A party contract pays if that party wins the seat.
Also on the Minnesota ballot
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Statement estimate · odds are a market close, not a poll