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Governor · Minnesota · Nov 3 · 7 days out
Minnesota Governor
Amy Klobuchar (Democrat (DFL)) against Lisa Demuth (Republican). Demuth is down 7 points on the markets since April.
Where they stand · 59 points apart
Demuth is an estimateSolid is a voting record; hollow is read from the campaign’s own words. Biggest gaps first.
Amy KlobucharrecordLisa Demuthestimate
In their own words
Campaign sites and X“We do big things. This isn't just our past - it's our future. And I want to build that future together.”
“Before calling someone a “dirtbag,” the Senator should have had his facts straight. An apology is in order. Glad one of us knew the difference between the Atlanta Hawks and the Iowa Hawkeyes!” Klobuchar · X post · Sep 29 · ↗
“A Strong Minnesota”
“She will lower tax rates, reduce mandates and cut red tape.” Demuth · Campaign site · Sep 30 · ↗
All market contracts · Kalshi and Polymarket · 4
| Candidate | Platform | Contract | Bid | Ask | Last | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Amy Klobuchar | Kalshi | Democrat wins | 95% | 95% | 95% | $226,728 | Open ↗ |
| Amy Klobuchar | Polymarket | Democrat wins | 94% | 96% | 97% | $51,033 | Open ↗ |
| Lisa Demuth | Kalshi | Republican wins | 5% | 5% | 5% | $374,182 | Open ↗ |
| Lisa Demuth | Polymarket | Republican wins | 4% | 5% | 5% | $53,130 | Open ↗ |
Prices in cents on the dollar, read Oct 27, 2026. A party contract pays if that party wins the seat.
Also on the Minnesota ballot
All 9 →Statement estimate · odds are a market close, not a poll

