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U.S. House · Minnesota · Nov 3 · 7 days out
Minnesota House, district 3
Kelly Morrison (Democrat (DFL), incumbent) against Tyler Bass (Republican).
Where they stand · 70 points apart
Bass is an estimateSolid is a voting record; hollow is read from the campaign’s own words. Biggest gaps first.
Kelly MorrisonrecordTyler Bassestimate
Money
FEC to Sep 30RaisedMorrison$1.8MBass—Itemized, named donorsMorrison$1.3MBass—Named donorsMorrison913Bass—Itemized from MinnesotaMorrison87%Bass—
The FEC doesn't name donors who give under $200, so their gifts count in Raised but not Itemized.
In their own words
Campaign sites and X“Doctor. Mom. Proud Minnesotan.”
“No individual should have this much power over our elections. Campaign finance reform now.” Morrison · X post · Oct 19 · ↗
“Fighting for Real Minnesotans and a Better Future”
“Secure the border so that cartels cannot continue charging thousands of dollars for a crossing” Bass · Campaign site · Sep 30 · ↗
All market contracts · Kalshi and Polymarket · 4
| Candidate | Platform | Contract | Bid | Ask | Last | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kelly Morrison | Kalshi | Democrat wins | 96% | 98% | 99% | $1,351 | Open ↗ |
| Kelly Morrison | Polymarket | Democrat wins | 95% | 98% | 96% | $16,694 | Open ↗ |
| Tyler Bass | Kalshi | Republican wins | 2% | 5% | 5% | $447 | Open ↗ |
| Tyler Bass | Polymarket | Republican wins | 2% | 5% | 4% | $12,828 | Open ↗ |
Prices in cents on the dollar, read Oct 27, 2026. A party contract pays if that party wins the seat.
Also on the Minnesota ballot
All 9 →Statement estimate · odds are a market close, not a poll