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U.S. House · Minnesota · Nov 3 · 7 days out
Minnesota House, district 7
Michelle Fischbach (Republican, incumbent) against Erik Osberg (Democrat (DFL)).
Where they stand · 54 points apart
Osberg is an estimateSolid is a voting record; hollow is read from the campaign’s own words. Biggest gaps first.
Michelle FischbachrecordErik Osbergestimate
Money
FEC to Sep 30RaisedFischbach$1.6MOsberg$537kItemized, named donorsFischbach$395kOsberg$293kNamed donorsFischbach473Osberg426Itemized from MinnesotaFischbach60%Osberg92%
The FEC doesn't name donors who give under $200, so their gifts count in Raised but not Itemized.
In their own words
Campaign sites and X“Fighting for Western Minnesota.”
“Thank you, @POTUS, for providing much-needed assistance for our farmers.” Fischbach · X post · Oct 20 · ↗
“We Can Do Better”
“I believe we need to put our natural resources above profit on the priority list.” Osberg · X post · Apr 22 · ↗
All market contracts · Kalshi and Polymarket · 4
| Candidate | Platform | Contract | Bid | Ask | Last | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michelle Fischbach | Kalshi | Republican wins | 95% | 96% | 96% | $2,508 | Open ↗ |
| Michelle Fischbach | Polymarket | Republican wins | 95% | 95% | 95% | $8,920 | Open ↗ |
| Erik Osberg | Kalshi | Democrat wins | 4% | 5% | 6% | $4,195 | Open ↗ |
| Erik Osberg | Polymarket | Democrat wins | 3% | 5% | 3% | $27,563 | Open ↗ |
Prices in cents on the dollar, read Oct 27, 2026. A party contract pays if that party wins the seat.
Also on the Minnesota ballot
All 9 →Statement estimate · odds are a market close, not a poll