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U.S. Senate · Iowa · Nov 3 · 7 days out
Iowa Senate
Ashley Hinson (Republican) against Josh Turek (Democrat). Turek is up 15 points on the markets since May.
Where they stand · 52 points apart
Turek is an estimateSolid is a voting record; hollow is read from the campaign’s own words. Biggest gaps first.
Ashley HinsonrecordJosh Turekestimate
Money
FEC to Sep 30RaisedHinson$13.5MTurek$20.2MItemized, named donorsHinson$5.6MTurek$11MNamed donorsHinson5,517Turek13,089Itemized from IowaHinson41%Turek16%
The FEC doesn't name donors who give under $200, so their gifts count in Raised but not Itemized.
All market contracts · Kalshi and Polymarket · 6
| Candidate | Platform | Contract | Bid | Ask | Last | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ashley Hinson | Kalshi | this candidate | 58% | 59% | 58% | $13,029 | Open ↗ |
| Ashley Hinson | Kalshi | Republican wins | 58% | 59% | 58% | $3,002,020 | Open ↗ |
| Ashley Hinson | Polymarket | Republican wins | 58% | 59% | 59% | $522,136 | Open ↗ |
| Josh Turek | Kalshi | this candidate | 41% | 42% | 42% | $28,127 | Open ↗ |
| Josh Turek | Kalshi | Democrat wins | 41% | 42% | 42% | $3,107,660 | Open ↗ |
| Josh Turek | Polymarket | Democrat wins | 41% | 42% | 41% | $605,607 | Open ↗ |
Prices in cents on the dollar, read Oct 27, 2026. A party contract pays if that party wins the seat.
Also on the Iowa ballot
Statement estimate · odds are a market close, not a poll