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U.S. House · Iowa · Nov 3 · 7 days out
Iowa House, district 1
Christina Bohannan (Democrat) against Mariannette Miller-Meeks (Republican, incumbent).
Where they stand · 45 points apart
Bohannan is an estimateSolid is a voting record; hollow is read from the campaign’s own words. Biggest gaps first.
Christina BohannanestimateMariannette Miller-Meeksrecord
Money
FEC to Sep 30RaisedBohannan$9.5MMiller-Meeks$8.9MItemized, named donorsBohannan$6.2MMiller-Meeks$2.6MNamed donorsBohannan4,943Miller-Meeks2,684Itemized from IowaBohannan26%Miller-Meeks36%
The FEC doesn't name donors who give under $200, so their gifts count in Raised but not Itemized.
In their own words
Campaign sites and X“Fighting for working people, not Washington insiders”
“Allow Iowans to buy into Medicare at any age” Bohannan · Campaign site · Sep 30 · ↗
“Proven Conservative”
“Just two weeks until Election Day! There's a lot at stake, and I'm counting on you to get out and make your voices heard. It's common sense over crazy!” Miller-Meeks · X post · Oct 20 · ↗
All market contracts · Kalshi and Polymarket · 4
| Candidate | Platform | Contract | Bid | Ask | Last | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christina Bohannan | Kalshi | Democrat wins | 91% | 92% | 92% | $265,631 | Open ↗ |
| Christina Bohannan | Polymarket | Democrat wins | 92% | 94% | 94% | $38,003 | Open ↗ |
| Mariannette Miller-Meeks | Kalshi | Republican wins | 9% | 9% | 9% | $131,911 | Open ↗ |
| Mariannette Miller-Meeks | Polymarket | Republican wins | 6% | 8% | 8% | $26,198 | Open ↗ |
Prices in cents on the dollar, read Oct 27, 2026. A party contract pays if that party wins the seat.
Also on the Iowa ballot
Statement estimate · odds are a market close, not a poll