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U.S. House · Iowa · Nov 3 · 7 days out

Iowa House, district 2

Lindsay James (Democrat) against Joe Mitchell (Republican).

Lindsay James
Democrat · challenger · estimate Left 26
71%party to win
vs.
Joe Mitchell
Republican · challenger · estimate Right 36
31%party to win

Where they stand · 62 points apart

Estimates

Hollow dots are read from each campaign’s own words; nobody here has a voting record yet. Biggest gaps first.

Lindsay JamesestimateJoe Mitchellestimate
Issue · biggest gap firstLeftCenterRightApart
Overall
2636
62 pts

Money

FEC to Sep 30
RaisedJames
$3.5MMitchell
$2.7MItemized, named donorsJames
$2.6MMitchell
$1.4MNamed donorsJames
2,093Mitchell
1,003Itemized from IowaJames
30%Mitchell
30%
The FEC doesn't name donors who give under $200, so their gifts count in Raised but not Itemized.

In their own words

Campaign sites and X

“Join our campaign to level the playing field for all Iowans”

“expand their ability to negotiate all drug prices” James · Campaign site · Sep 30 · ↗

“I support a temporary ban on H-1B visas” Mitchell · Campaign site · Sep 30 · ↗

All market contracts · Kalshi and Polymarket · 4
CandidatePlatformContractBidAskLastVolume
Lindsay JamesKalshiDemocrat wins70%71%71%$31,464Open ↗
Lindsay JamesPolymarketDemocrat wins70%72%71%$22,537Open ↗
Joe MitchellKalshiRepublican wins29%31%31%$92,122Open ↗
Joe MitchellPolymarketRepublican wins29%31%29%$41,578Open ↗
Prices in cents on the dollar, read Oct 27, 2026. A party contract pays if that party wins the seat.
Also on the Iowa ballot
Statement estimate · odds are a market close, not a poll