Governor · Iowa · Nov 3 · 7 days out

Iowa Governor

Rob Sand (Democrat) against Zach Lahn (Republican). Sand is up 31 points on the markets since April.

Democrat · challenger · estimate L-lean 22

83%▲ 31 since April

vs.

Republican · challenger · estimate Right 27

18%▼ 31 since April

Party to win · Kalshi daily close, Oct 27All market contracts ▸

Where they stand · 49 points apart

Estimates

Hollow dots are read from each campaign’s own words; nobody here has a voting record yet. Biggest gaps first.

Rob SandestimateZach Lahnestimate

Issue · biggest gap firstLeftCenterRightApart

Overall

2227

49 pts

Health care

2823

50 pts ▸

Education

2823

50 pts ▸

Federal power and civil liberties

1843

25 pts ▸

Crime and justice

2345

22 pts ▸

Housing, transportation, technology and vice

2815

13 pts ▸

Trade and industrial policy

1828

10 pts ▸

Energy, environment, land and agriculture

2933

4 pts ▸

Campaign sites and X

“Ag needs markets not just to sell into, but to buy from as well.” Sand · X post · Jan 24 · ↗

“The Iowa We Love Will Not Preserve Itself.”

“Support Young Farmers Create pathways and incentives for young farmers to access land.” Lahn · Campaign site · Sep 30 · ↗

All market contracts · Kalshi and Polymarket · 4

Candidate	Platform	Contract	Bid	Ask	Last	Volume
Rob Sand	Kalshi	Democrat wins	83%	84%	83%	$888,393	Open ↗
Rob Sand	Polymarket	Democrat wins	84%	85%	85%	$191,046	Open ↗
Zach Lahn	Kalshi	Republican wins	17%	18%	18%	$1,382,061	Open ↗
Zach Lahn	Polymarket	Republican wins	15%	16%	15%	$172,121	Open ↗

Prices in cents on the dollar, read Oct 27, 2026. A party contract pays if that party wins the seat.

Also on the Iowa ballot

Senate · open seat

House · IA-1

House · IA-2

House · IA-3

House · IA-4

Statement estimate · odds are a market close, not a poll