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U.S. House · Iowa · Nov 3 · 7 days out
Iowa House, district 3
Sarah Trone Garriott (Democrat) against Zach Nunn (Republican, incumbent).
Where they stand · 58 points apart
EstimatesHollow dots are read from each campaign’s own words; nobody here has a voting record yet. Biggest gaps first.
Sarah Trone GarriottestimateZach Nunnestimate
Money
FEC to Sep 30RaisedGarriott$7.7MNunn$6MItemized, named donorsGarriott$5.5MNunn$1.2MNamed donorsGarriott4,780Nunn1,080Itemized from IowaGarriott28%Nunn18%
The FEC doesn't name donors who give under $200, so their gifts count in Raised but not Itemized.
All market contracts · Kalshi and Polymarket · 4
| Candidate | Platform | Contract | Bid | Ask | Last | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sarah Trone Garriott | Kalshi | Democrat wins | 83% | 84% | 83% | $74,951 | Open ↗ |
| Sarah Trone Garriott | Polymarket | Democrat wins | 84% | 86% | 86% | $8,146 | Open ↗ |
| Zach Nunn | Kalshi | Republican wins | 15% | 16% | 16% | $46,300 | Open ↗ |
| Zach Nunn | Polymarket | Republican wins | 14% | 16% | 14% | $10,599 | Open ↗ |
Prices in cents on the dollar, read Oct 27, 2026. A party contract pays if that party wins the seat.
Also on the Iowa ballot
Statement estimate · odds are a market close, not a poll