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U.S. House · California · Nov 3 · 7 days out
California House, district 7
Doris Matsui (Democrat, incumbent) against Mai Vang (Democrat).
Where they stand · 6 points apart
Vang is an estimateSolid is a voting record; hollow is read from the campaign’s own words. Biggest gaps first.
Doris MatsuirecordMai Vangestimate
Money
FEC to Sep 30RaisedMatsui$5.2MVang$1.6MItemized, named donorsMatsui$1MVang$1.1MNamed donorsMatsui614Vang1,219Itemized from CaliforniaMatsui49%Vang89%
The FEC doesn't name donors who give under $200, so their gifts count in Raised but not Itemized.
In their own words
Campaign sites and X“Always Fighting for Change”
“A fill-up shouldn’t break the bank. I introduced the Gas Money Saved Act with @repdinatitus to strengthen fuel economy standards and help Sacramento families go farther on every gallon. More miles. Less money at the pump.” Matsui · X post · Oct 15 · ↗
“ICE cannot be reformed.” Vang · Campaign site · Sep 30 · ↗
All market contracts · Kalshi and Polymarket · 4
| Candidate | Platform | Contract | Bid | Ask | Last | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Doris Matsui | Kalshi | this candidate | 63% | 64% | 64% | $33,785 | Open ↗ |
| Doris Matsui | Polymarket | this candidate | 62% | 63% | 65% | $13,454 | Open ↗ |
| Mai Vang | Kalshi | this candidate | 36% | 37% | 37% | $37,752 | Open ↗ |
| Mai Vang | Polymarket | this candidate | 33% | 37% | 33% | $16,435 | Open ↗ |
Prices in cents on the dollar, read Oct 27, 2026. A party contract pays if that party wins the seat.
Also on the California ballot
All 52 →Statement estimate · odds are a market close, not a poll