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U.S. House · California · Nov 3 · 7 days out
California House, district 50
Scott Peters (Democrat, incumbent) against Steve Cohen (Republican).
Where they stand · 25 points apart
Cohen is an estimateSolid is a voting record; hollow is read from the campaign’s own words. Biggest gaps first.
Scott PetersrecordSteve Cohenestimate
Money
FEC to Sep 30RaisedPeters$2.2MCohen$4kItemized, named donorsPeters$372kCohen$4kNamed donorsPeters274Cohen2Itemized from CaliforniaPeters49%Cohen7%
The FEC doesn't name donors who give under $200, so their gifts count in Raised but not Itemized.
In their own words
Campaign sites and X“Less noise. More ACTION.”
“Serving Seniors provides over 1.5 million nutritious meals a year to older San Diegans. On Tuesday, I helped serve lunch and had the chance to share what I’m working on in Congress and answer some of their questions.” Peters · X post · Oct 16 · ↗
“For Truth. For Change. For Congress.”
“fighting for real drug pricing transparency” Cohen · Campaign site · Sep 30 · ↗
All market contracts · Kalshi and Polymarket · 4
| Candidate | Platform | Contract | Bid | Ask | Last | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scott Peters | Kalshi | Democrat wins | 96% | 98% | 98% | $1,005 | Open ↗ |
| Scott Peters | Polymarket | Democrat wins | 95% | 97% | 97% | $38,951 | Open ↗ |
| Steve Cohen | Kalshi | Republican wins | 2% | 4% | 4% | $1,730 | Open ↗ |
| Steve Cohen | Polymarket | Republican wins | 3% | 3% | 3% | $30,546 | Open ↗ |
Prices in cents on the dollar, read Oct 27, 2026. A party contract pays if that party wins the seat.
Also on the California ballot
All 52 →Statement estimate · odds are a market close, not a poll