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U.S. House · California · Nov 3 · 7 days out
California House, district 47
Dave Min (Democrat, incumbent) against Jenny Rae LeRoux (Republican).
Where they stand · 58 points apart
LeRoux is an estimateSolid is a voting record; hollow is read from the campaign’s own words. Biggest gaps first.
Dave MinrecordJenny Rae LeRouxestimate
Money
FEC to Sep 30RaisedMin$3.8MLeRoux$553kItemized, named donorsMin$2.5MLeRoux$308kNamed donorsMin1,902LeRoux230Itemized from CaliforniaMin73%LeRoux93%
The FEC doesn't name donors who give under $200, so their gifts count in Raised but not Itemized.
In their own words
Campaign sites and X“I can't be bought and I'm hell bent on cleaning up the corruption and rot in Washington, DC.”
“I dropped my ballot off at my local drop box — it’s easy, safe, and secure. This year, it’s really important to vote early. So cast your ballot, make your voice heard, and make sure that your friends and neighbors do too!” Min · X post · Oct 20 · ↗
“She exposed the waste in Sacramento. Now she'll stop it in Washington.”
“Jenny Rae supports fully funding border security” LeRoux · Campaign site · Sep 30 · ↗
All market contracts · Kalshi and Polymarket · 4
| Candidate | Platform | Contract | Bid | Ask | Last | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dave Min | Kalshi | Democrat wins | 95% | 97% | 95% | $7,146 | Open ↗ |
| Dave Min | Polymarket | Democrat wins | 96% | 97% | 96% | $15,613 | Open ↗ |
| Jenny Rae LeRoux | Kalshi | Republican wins | 4% | 4% | 5% | $1,280 | Open ↗ |
| Jenny Rae LeRoux | Polymarket | Republican wins | 3% | 4% | 4% | $15,881 | Open ↗ |
Prices in cents on the dollar, read Oct 27, 2026. A party contract pays if that party wins the seat.
Also on the California ballot
All 52 →Statement estimate · odds are a market close, not a poll