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U.S. House · California · Nov 3 · 7 days out
California House, district 39
Mark Takano (Democrat, incumbent) against Steve Manos (Republican).
Where they stand
From their voting record.
Mark Takanorecord
Money
FEC to Sep 30RaisedTakano$1.1MManos$11kItemized, named donorsTakano$465kManos$6kNamed donorsTakano371Manos10Itemized from CaliforniaTakano72%Manos100%
The FEC doesn't name donors who give under $200, so their gifts count in Raised but not Itemized.
In their own words
Campaign sites and X“My dad, Willie, never seeks the spotlight, but his quiet strength, steady love, and support have always anchored our family. Happy Father’s Day—I love you.” Takano · X post · Jun 21 · ↗
“Faith, Family and Affordability”
All market contracts · Kalshi and Polymarket · 4
| Candidate | Platform | Contract | Bid | Ask | Last | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mark Takano | Kalshi | Democrat wins | 96% | 98% | 97% | $1,822 | Open ↗ |
| Mark Takano | Polymarket | Democrat wins | 95% | 98% | 97% | $41,729 | Open ↗ |
| Steve Manos | Kalshi | Republican wins | 2% | 5% | 3% | $2,334 | Open ↗ |
| Steve Manos | Polymarket | Republican wins | 2% | 5% | 5% | $17,279 | Open ↗ |
Prices in cents on the dollar, read Oct 27, 2026. A party contract pays if that party wins the seat.
Also on the California ballot
All 52 →Statement estimate · odds are a market close, not a poll