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U.S. House · California · Nov 3 · 7 days out
California House, district 37
Sydney Kamlager (Democrat, incumbent) against Samantha Mota (Democrat).
Where they stand · 1 points apart
EstimatesHollow dots are read from each campaign’s own words; nobody here has a voting record yet. Biggest gaps first.
Sydney KamlagerestimateSamantha Motaestimate
Money
FEC to Sep 30RaisedKamlager$1.6MMota$13kItemized, named donorsKamlager$444kMota$2kNamed donorsKamlager597Mota7Itemized from CaliforniaKamlager64%Mota85%
The FEC doesn't name donors who give under $200, so their gifts count in Raised but not Itemized.
All market contracts · Kalshi and Polymarket · 4
| Candidate | Platform | Contract | Bid | Ask | Last | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sydney Kamlager | Kalshi | this candidate | 94% | 95% | 95% | $15,076 | Open ↗ |
| Sydney Kamlager | Polymarket | this candidate | 95% | 96% | 95% | $53,301 | Open ↗ |
| Samantha Mota | Kalshi | this candidate | 2% | 6% | 5% | $7,670 | Open ↗ |
| Samantha Mota | Polymarket | this candidate | 1% | 6% | 1% | $970 | Open ↗ |
Prices in cents on the dollar, read Oct 27, 2026. A party contract pays if that party wins the seat.
Also on the California ballot
All 52 →Statement estimate · odds are a market close, not a poll