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U.S. House · California · Nov 3 · 7 days out
California House, district 35
Norma Torres (Democrat, incumbent) against Mike Cargile (Republican).
Where they stand · 59 points apart
Cargile is an estimateSolid is a voting record; hollow is read from the campaign’s own words. Biggest gaps first.
Norma TorresrecordMike Cargileestimate
Money
FEC to Sep 30RaisedTorres$885kCargile$10kItemized, named donorsTorres$230kCargile$8kNamed donorsTorres198Cargile6Itemized from CaliforniaTorres50%Cargile100%
The FEC doesn't name donors who give under $200, so their gifts count in Raised but not Itemized.
In their own words
Campaign sites and X“My heart is with the Eastvale community and the families affected by this horrific shooting. I’m keeping the victims and their loved ones in my thoughts as our community grieves.” Torres · X post · Oct 19 · ↗
“We must End the Endless Wars, Break up Corporate Monopolies and become Energy Independent. To achieve this we MUST have Fair and Transparent Elections!”
“Those who refuse to self-deport will be deported forcibly and without prejudice.” Cargile · Campaign site · Sep 29 · ↗
All market contracts · Kalshi and Polymarket · 4
| Candidate | Platform | Contract | Bid | Ask | Last | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Norma Torres | Kalshi | Democrat wins | 98% | >99% | 95% | $592 | Open ↗ |
| Norma Torres | Polymarket | Democrat wins | 96% | 99% | 97% | $24,532 | Open ↗ |
| Mike Cargile | Kalshi | Republican wins | <1% | 2% | 2% | $337 | Open ↗ |
| Mike Cargile | Polymarket | Republican wins | — | <1% | <1% | $21,557 | Open ↗ |
Prices in cents on the dollar, read Oct 27, 2026. A party contract pays if that party wins the seat.
Also on the California ballot
All 52 →Statement estimate · odds are a market close, not a poll