U.S. House · California · Nov 3 · 7 days out

California House, district 31

Gil Cisneros (Democrat, incumbent) against Eric Ching (Republican).

Democrat · incumbent · no positions yet

97%party to win

vs.

Republican · challenger · estimate Right 28

5%party to win

Where they stand

Estimates

Read from the campaign’s own words; no voting record yet.

Eric Chingestimate

IssueLeftCenterRight

Overall

Education

▸

Immigration

▸

Crime and justice

▸

Guns

▸

Civil rights, gender and religion

▸

FEC to Sep 30

RaisedCisneros

$830kChing

$97kItemized, named donorsCisneros

$228kChing

$90kNamed donorsCisneros

157Ching

67Itemized from CaliforniaCisneros

62%Ching

90%

The FEC doesn't name donors who give under $200, so their gifts count in Raised but not Itemized.

Campaign sites and X

“working towards commonsense gun reform that keeps our community safe” Cisneros · X post · Jul 30 · ↗

“You First.”

“Criminals should pay restitution to society and their victims for what they have committed.” Ching · Campaign site · Sep 30 · ↗

All market contracts · Kalshi and Polymarket · 4

Candidate	Platform	Contract	Bid	Ask	Last	Volume
Gil Cisneros	Kalshi	Democrat wins	95%	97%	95%	$411	Open ↗
Gil Cisneros	Polymarket	Democrat wins	94%	97%	97%	$8,229	Open ↗
Eric Ching	Kalshi	Republican wins	2%	6%	5%	$301	Open ↗
Eric Ching	Polymarket	Republican wins	3%	5%	5%	$10,645	Open ↗

Prices in cents on the dollar, read Oct 27, 2026. A party contract pays if that party wins the seat.

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Statement estimate · odds are a market close, not a poll