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U.S. House · California · Nov 3 · 7 days out
California House, district 30
Laura Friedman (Democrat, incumbent) against Scott Meyers (Republican).
Where they stand · 68 points apart
Meyers is an estimateSolid is a voting record; hollow is read from the campaign’s own words. Biggest gaps first.
Laura FriedmanrecordScott Meyersestimate
Money
FEC to Sep 30RaisedFriedman$942kMeyers$118kItemized, named donorsFriedman$526kMeyers$17kNamed donorsFriedman503Meyers13Itemized from CaliforniaFriedman88%Meyers100%
The FEC doesn't name donors who give under $200, so their gifts count in Raised but not Itemized.
In their own words
Campaign sites and X“Creative. Effective. Courageous. Leadership For CA-30.”
“Happy 100th birthday, @FondaTheatre ! From Clark Gable to Paul McCartney, this iconic venue has showcased legends in its century-long history.” Friedman · X post · Oct 20 · ↗
“you want us taxed more? No Laura.” Meyers · X post · Apr 5 · ↗
All market contracts · Kalshi and Polymarket · 4
| Candidate | Platform | Contract | Bid | Ask | Last | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Laura Friedman | Kalshi | Democrat wins | 96% | 98% | 95% | $812 | Open ↗ |
| Laura Friedman | Polymarket | Democrat wins | 95% | 97% | 97% | $20,061 | Open ↗ |
| Scott Meyers | Kalshi | Republican wins | 2% | 4% | 2% | $3,474 | Open ↗ |
| Scott Meyers | Polymarket | Republican wins | 1% | 3% | 3% | $15,450 | Open ↗ |
Prices in cents on the dollar, read Oct 27, 2026. A party contract pays if that party wins the seat.
Also on the California ballot
All 52 →Statement estimate · odds are a market close, not a poll