← All races
U.S. House · California · Nov 3 · 7 days out
California House, district 29
Luz Rivas (Democrat, incumbent) against Angelica Duenas (Democrat).
Where they stand · 8 points apart
Duenas is an estimateSolid is a voting record; hollow is read from the campaign’s own words. Biggest gaps first.
Luz RivasrecordAngelica Duenasestimate
Money
FEC to Sep 30RaisedRivas$859kDuenas$94kItemized, named donorsRivas$359kDuenas$40kNamed donorsRivas352Duenas49Itemized from CaliforniaRivas81%Duenas87%
The FEC doesn't name donors who give under $200, so their gifts count in Raised but not Itemized.
In their own words
Campaign sites and X“Peace. Jobs. Justice.”
“Abolish ICE WE will work with Congress to defund ICE.” Duenas · Campaign site · Invalid Date · ↗
All market contracts · Kalshi and Polymarket · 4
| Candidate | Platform | Contract | Bid | Ask | Last | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luz Rivas | Kalshi | this candidate | 91% | 96% | 92% | $4,809 | Open ↗ |
| Luz Rivas | Polymarket | this candidate | 93% | 95% | 94% | $2,139 | Open ↗ |
| Angelica Duenas | Kalshi | this candidate | 3% | 9% | 12% | $8,734 | Open ↗ |
| Angelica Duenas | Polymarket | this candidate | 2% | 7% | 2% | $4,172 | Open ↗ |
Prices in cents on the dollar, read Oct 27, 2026. A party contract pays if that party wins the seat.
Also on the California ballot
All 52 →Statement estimate · odds are a market close, not a poll