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U.S. House · California · Nov 3 · 7 days out
California House, district 28
Judy Chu (Democrat, incumbent) against April Verlato (Republican).
Where they stand · 62 points apart
Verlato is an estimateSolid is a voting record; hollow is read from the campaign’s own words. Biggest gaps first.
Judy ChurecordApril Verlatoestimate
Money
FEC to Sep 30RaisedChu$1.3MVerlato$450Itemized, named donorsChu$733kVerlato$200Named donorsChu469Verlato1Itemized from CaliforniaChu94%Verlato100%
The FEC doesn't name donors who give under $200, so their gifts count in Raised but not Itemized.
In their own words
Campaign sites and X“A proven leader for the San Gabriel Valley”
“Middle- and lower-income Americans are paying up to $1,700 more this year because of Trump's economic policies. Trump is looking out for his billionaire friends, not working families.” Chu · X post · Oct 20 · ↗
“I Believe in Creating Jobs and Growing Our Economy.”
“April supports enhancing America’s military strength” Verlato · Campaign site · Sep 30 · ↗
All market contracts · Kalshi and Polymarket · 4
| Candidate | Platform | Contract | Bid | Ask | Last | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Judy Chu | Kalshi | Democrat wins | 97% | 99% | 99% | $1,826 | Open ↗ |
| Judy Chu | Polymarket | Democrat wins | 96% | 98% | 98% | $58,618 | Open ↗ |
| April Verlato | Kalshi | Republican wins | 1% | 3% | 5% | $1,446 | Open ↗ |
| April Verlato | Polymarket | Republican wins | 1% | 2% | 2% | $83,865 | Open ↗ |
Prices in cents on the dollar, read Oct 27, 2026. A party contract pays if that party wins the seat.
Also on the California ballot
All 52 →Statement estimate · odds are a market close, not a poll