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U.S. House · California · Nov 3 · 7 days out
California House, district 26
Jacqui Irwin (Democrat) against Sam Gallucci (Republican).
Where they stand · 46 points apart
EstimatesHollow dots are read from each campaign’s own words; nobody here has a voting record yet. Biggest gaps first.
Jacqui IrwinestimateSam Gallucciestimate
Money
FEC to Sep 30RaisedIrwin$1.1MGallucci$489kItemized, named donorsIrwin$775kGallucci$193kNamed donorsIrwin516Gallucci113Itemized from CaliforniaIrwin88%Gallucci68%
The FEC doesn't name donors who give under $200, so their gifts count in Raised but not Itemized.
In their own words
Campaign sites and X“"I am excited to announce I am running to represent the new 26th Congressional District. My energy and passion for public service has never been stronger. I am ready to stand up for our district and state in Congress, fighting Trump's assault on our democracy and values while prioritizing public safety, affordability, and the needs of Ventura and Los Angeles Counties."”
“created a small business loan access program” Irwin · Campaign site · Sep 30 · ↗
“Anyone seeking citizenship must apply through the traditional, legal process.” Gallucci · X post · Oct 13 · ↗
All market contracts · Kalshi and Polymarket · 4
| Candidate | Platform | Contract | Bid | Ask | Last | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jacqui Irwin | Kalshi | Democrat wins | 96% | 97% | 94% | $197 | Open ↗ |
| Jacqui Irwin | Polymarket | Democrat wins | 95% | 97% | 97% | $16,722 | Open ↗ |
| Sam Gallucci | Kalshi | Republican wins | 3% | 4% | 9% | $1,654 | Open ↗ |
| Sam Gallucci | Polymarket | Republican wins | 2% | 5% | 3% | $19,872 | Open ↗ |
Prices in cents on the dollar, read Oct 27, 2026. A party contract pays if that party wins the seat.
Also on the California ballot
All 52 →Statement estimate · odds are a market close, not a poll