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U.S. House · California · Nov 3 · 7 days out
California House, district 20
Vince Fong (Republican, incumbent) against Sandra Van Scotter (Democrat).
Where they stand · 39 points apart
Scotter is an estimateSolid is a voting record; hollow is read from the campaign’s own words. Biggest gaps first.
Vince FongrecordSandra Van Scotterestimate
Money
FEC to Sep 30RaisedFong$2.4MScotter$41kItemized, named donorsFong$890kScotter$8kNamed donorsFong588Scotter22Itemized from CaliforniaFong76%Scotter100%
The FEC doesn't name donors who give under $200, so their gifts count in Raised but not Itemized.
In their own words
Campaign sites and X“Fighting For the Central Valley”
“You deserve a rep that actually shows up.”
“Sandra will fight to protect and expand coverage for every Californian.” Scotter · Campaign site · Sep 30 · ↗
All market contracts · Kalshi and Polymarket · 4
| Candidate | Platform | Contract | Bid | Ask | Last | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vince Fong | Kalshi | Republican wins | 97% | 98% | 96% | $655 | Open ↗ |
| Vince Fong | Polymarket | Republican wins | 97% | 98% | 97% | $28,881 | Open ↗ |
| Sandra Van Scotter | Kalshi | Democrat wins | 2% | 3% | 4% | $4,462 | Open ↗ |
| Sandra Van Scotter | Polymarket | Democrat wins | 2% | 5% | 4% | $21,259 | Open ↗ |
Prices in cents on the dollar, read Oct 27, 2026. A party contract pays if that party wins the seat.
Also on the California ballot
All 52 →Statement estimate · odds are a market close, not a poll