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U.S. House · California · Nov 3 · 7 days out
California House, district 19
Jimmy Panetta (Democrat, incumbent) against Peter Verbica (Republican).
Where they stand · 16 points apart
Verbica is an estimateSolid is a voting record; hollow is read from the campaign’s own words. Biggest gaps first.
Jimmy PanettarecordPeter Verbicaestimate
Money
FEC to Sep 30RaisedPanetta$3.5MVerbica$86kItemized, named donorsPanetta$1.4MVerbica$68kNamed donorsPanetta1,096Verbica61Itemized from CaliforniaPanetta52%Verbica83%
The FEC doesn't name donors who give under $200, so their gifts count in Raised but not Itemized.
In their own words
Campaign sites and X“FIGHTING FOR OUR VALUES”
“Appreciated the opportunity to talk to a local restaurant owner to hear about the challenges they face and how I can continue to support small businesses throughout CA-19.” Panetta · X post · Oct 20 · ↗
“Peter is a vigorous advocate for: ... school choice, and ... merit-based education.” Verbica · Campaign site · Sep 29 · ↗
All market contracts · Kalshi and Polymarket · 4
| Candidate | Platform | Contract | Bid | Ask | Last | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jimmy Panetta | Kalshi | Democrat wins | 98% | >99% | >99% | $4,784 | Open ↗ |
| Jimmy Panetta | Polymarket | Democrat wins | 97% | 99% | 97% | $31,443 | Open ↗ |
| Peter Verbica | Kalshi | Republican wins | <1% | 3% | 3% | $1,186 | Open ↗ |
| Peter Verbica | Polymarket | Republican wins | 1% | 3% | 2% | $18,808 | Open ↗ |
Prices in cents on the dollar, read Oct 27, 2026. A party contract pays if that party wins the seat.
Also on the California ballot
All 52 →Statement estimate · odds are a market close, not a poll