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U.S. House · California · Nov 3 · 7 days out
California House, district 12
Lateefah Simon (Democrat, incumbent) against Jamie Joyce (Democrat).
Where they stand · 24 points apart
Joyce is an estimateSolid is a voting record; hollow is read from the campaign’s own words. Biggest gaps first.
Lateefah SimonrecordJamie Joyceestimate
Money
FEC to Sep 30RaisedSimon$1.7MJoyce$68kItemized, named donorsSimon$1.2MJoyce$60kNamed donorsSimon848Joyce29Itemized from CaliforniaSimon86%Joyce61%
The FEC doesn't name donors who give under $200, so their gifts count in Raised but not Itemized.
In their own words
Campaign sites and X“A FIGHTER FOR ALL OF US.”
“Democratic leaders should move our nation forward, not backwards. This type of hateful language from Maureen Galindo is unacceptable and chilling. There’s no place in our party or politics for antisemitism or bigotry of any kind.” Simon · X post · May 21 · ↗
“We Won't Let Them Get Away With It.”
“The part of the MAD Act ... dedicated to AI is 240+ pages of serious policy, including: immediate red-line regulations, interim safeguards, hammer provisions” Joyce · Campaign site · Sep 29 · ↗
All market contracts · Kalshi and Polymarket · 4
| Candidate | Platform | Contract | Bid | Ask | Last | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lateefah Simon | Kalshi | this candidate | 96% | 97% | 97% | $4,207 | Open ↗ |
| Lateefah Simon | Polymarket | this candidate | 94% | 96% | 96% | $1,603 | Open ↗ |
| Jamie Joyce | Kalshi | this candidate | 1% | 6% | 2% | $4,364 | Open ↗ |
| Jamie Joyce | Polymarket | this candidate | 2% | 6% | 1% | $4,340 | Open ↗ |
Prices in cents on the dollar, read Oct 27, 2026. A party contract pays if that party wins the seat.
Also on the California ballot
All 52 →Statement estimate · odds are a market close, not a poll