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U.S. House · California · Nov 3 · 7 days out
California House, district 11
Scott Wiener (Democrat) against Connie Chan (Democrat).
Where they stand · 6 points apart
EstimatesHollow dots are read from each campaign’s own words; nobody here has a voting record yet. Biggest gaps first.
Scott WienerestimateConnie Chanestimate
Money
FEC to Sep 30RaisedWiener$5.6MChan$2.2MItemized, named donorsWiener$5MChan$1.8MNamed donorsWiener2,736Chan1,346Itemized from CaliforniaWiener86%Chan86%
The FEC doesn't name donors who give under $200, so their gifts count in Raised but not Itemized.
All market contracts · Kalshi and Polymarket · 4
| Candidate | Platform | Contract | Bid | Ask | Last | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scott Wiener | Kalshi | this candidate | 79% | 80% | 80% | $197,805 | Open ↗ |
| Scott Wiener | Polymarket | this candidate | 75% | 79% | 75% | $7,380 | Open ↗ |
| Connie Chan | Kalshi | this candidate | 22% | 23% | 22% | $65,007 | Open ↗ |
| Connie Chan | Polymarket | this candidate | 21% | 24% | 23% | $14,789 | Open ↗ |
Prices in cents on the dollar, read Oct 27, 2026. A party contract pays if that party wins the seat.
Also on the California ballot
All 52 →Statement estimate · odds are a market close, not a poll