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U.S. House · Arizona · Nov 3 · 7 days out
Arizona House, district 8
Abe Hamadeh (Republican, incumbent) against Bernadette Greene-Placentia (Democrat).
Where they stand · 63 points apart
EstimatesHollow dots are read from each campaign’s own words; nobody here has a voting record yet. Biggest gaps first.
Abe HamadehestimateBernadette Greene-Placentiaestimate
Money
FEC to Sep 30RaisedHamadeh$1.4MGreene-Placentia$237kItemized, named donorsHamadeh$371kGreene-Placentia$56kNamed donorsHamadeh462Greene-Placentia90Itemized from ArizonaHamadeh44%Greene-Placentia51%
The FEC doesn't name donors who give under $200, so their gifts count in Raised but not Itemized.
All market contracts · Kalshi and Polymarket · 4
| Candidate | Platform | Contract | Bid | Ask | Last | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Abe Hamadeh | Kalshi | Republican wins | 87% | 89% | 90% | $5,228 | Open ↗ |
| Abe Hamadeh | Polymarket | Republican wins | 86% | 88% | 89% | $6,306 | Open ↗ |
| Bernadette Greene-Placentia | Kalshi | Democrat wins | 11% | 12% | 11% | $5,863 | Open ↗ |
| Bernadette Greene-Placentia | Polymarket | Democrat wins | 12% | 14% | 12% | $12,276 | Open ↗ |
Prices in cents on the dollar, read Oct 27, 2026. A party contract pays if that party wins the seat.
Also on the Arizona ballot
All 9 →Statement estimate · odds are a market close, not a poll