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U.S. House · Arizona · Nov 3 · 7 days out
Arizona House, district 7
Adelita Grijalva (Democrat, incumbent) against Daniel Butierez (Republican).
Where they stand · 73 points apart
Butierez is an estimateSolid is a voting record; hollow is read from the campaign’s own words. Biggest gaps first.
Adelita GrijalvarecordDaniel Butierezestimate
Money
FEC to Sep 30RaisedGrijalva$2.5MButierez$232kItemized, named donorsGrijalva$858kButierez$26kNamed donorsGrijalva1,147Butierez42Itemized from ArizonaGrijalva65%Butierez97%
The FEC doesn't name donors who give under $200, so their gifts count in Raised but not Itemized.
All market contracts · Kalshi and Polymarket · 4
| Candidate | Platform | Contract | Bid | Ask | Last | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adelita Grijalva | Kalshi | Democrat wins | 96% | 98% | 96% | $445 | Open ↗ |
| Adelita Grijalva | Polymarket | Democrat wins | 95% | 98% | 98% | $6,213 | Open ↗ |
| Daniel Butierez | Kalshi | Republican wins | 2% | 4% | 4% | $903 | Open ↗ |
| Daniel Butierez | Polymarket | Republican wins | 1% | 2% | 2% | $34,704 | Open ↗ |
Prices in cents on the dollar, read Oct 27, 2026. A party contract pays if that party wins the seat.
Also on the Arizona ballot
All 9 →Statement estimate · odds are a market close, not a poll