Mary Peltola
Candidate · U.S. Senate · Alaska
Democrat · Challenger74%
To win · Kalshi, Oct 27, 2026
▲ 17 pts since April
Running for
OfficeU.S. Senate
SeatAlaska, statewide
AgainstDan Sullivan (R), incumbent
ElectionNov 3, 2026 · 7 days
StandingChallenger
BallotDirectory listing
Links
Running statewide
Alaska · Senate seat
Roster checked Sep 29, 2026. Listed as: Ex-Congresswoman, Ex-State Rep. & Ex-Nonprofit Executive.
The campaign · in their wordsmarypeltola.com · read Oct 19, 2026 ↗
“To Hell with Politics… Put Alaska First.”
Plank 1 · campaign site
Lower Taxes, Higher Wages
“Mary will fight to cut taxes for more than half of hardworking Alaskans and eliminate federal income tax entirely for working and middle-class Alaskans earning less than $92,000 per year, paid for by raising taxes on millionaires and billionaires.”
Plank 2 · campaign site
Term Limits
“Mary will fight for 12 year term limits in Congress, giving our representatives deadlines to deliver for Alaska.”
Plank 3 · campaign site
Banning Factory Trawling
“Mary will fight to ban factory trawling to protect our Alaska way of life.”
Page titles and first lines from the campaign's own site, unedited. 207 pages read.
Where They Stand
Statement estimateNo votes yet, so this is read from the campaign’s own words, on the same scale as a member’s record.
Overall
from 4 statements
L-lean
Issue · by emphasisLeftCenterRightReadTalks about
Odds over time · Kalshi daily closes
Peltola (D) — 74%Sullivan (R) — 27%
The race · Alaska Senate · 7 days out
Mary PeltolaDemocrat · challenger · L-lean 22 from statements74%
Dan SullivanRepublican · incumbent · Rt-lean 18 on the record27%2218
40 points apart · hollow = estimate, solid = record
Money · FEC through Sep 30, 2026
$32.6M
Raised
$28.8M
From individuals
Named donors · gifts over $200
$18M
Itemized · 62% of individual
24,301
Named donors
9%
Itemized from Alaska
By occupation
$8.6M
$2.7M
$848k
$298k
$255k
By state
$3.8M
$1.7M
$1.5M
$1.3M
$1.2M
The FEC doesn't name donors who give under $200, so their gifts count in Raised but not Itemized.
In their own words
“I'm committed to protecting them for generations to come.”
“My first bill to pass the House was to make sure veterans wouldn’t go hungry.”
“I'll always fight to make sure they get the healthcare, benefits, and pay they've earned.”
On the ballot with them · Alaska, Nov 3, 2026
AK Governor · open seat
Jonathan "JKT" Kreiss-Tomkins (D) · 88%
vs. Bernadette Wilson (R) · 12%
AK-AL
Nick Begich (R) · 82%
vs. Bill Hill (I) · 21%
Statement estimate · odds are a market close, not a poll
Mary Peltola
Candidate · U.S. Senate · Alaska
Democrat · Challenger74%
To win · Kalshi
▲ 17 pts since April
7
Days to Nov 3
vs. Sullivan (R), inc.
The campaign · in their wordsRead Oct 19, 2026 ↗
“To Hell with Politics… Put Alaska First.”
Plank 1
Lower Taxes, Higher Wages
“Mary will fight to cut taxes for more than half of hardworking Alaskans and eliminate federal income tax entirely for working and middle-class Alaskans earning less than $92,000 per year, paid for by raising taxes on millionaires and billionaires.”
Plank 2
Term Limits
“Mary will fight for 12 year term limits in Congress, giving our representatives deadlines to deliver for Alaska.”
Plank 3
Banning Factory Trawling
“Mary will fight to ban factory trawling to protect our Alaska way of life.”
Page titles and first lines from the campaign's site, unedited · marypeltola.com
Where They Stand
EstimateNo votes yet, so this is read from the campaign’s own words.
Issue · by emphasisRead · talks about
Budget and taxesL-lean 20
L-lean, 20 points from center
Energy and landMixed
Mixed
Health careLeft 28
Left, 28 points from center
Crime and justiceLeft 23
Left, 23 points from center
Foreign policyLeft 23
Left, 23 points from center
EducationLeft 28
Left, 28 points from center
Business and laborRight 23
Right, 23 points from center
TradeL-lean 10
L-lean, 10 points from center
Odds over time · Kalshi
Peltola 74%Sullivan 27%
The race · AK Senate · 7 days out
Mary PeltolaDemocrat · challenger · L-lean 22 from statements74%Dan SullivanRepublican · incumbent · Rt-lean 18 on the record27%2218
Hollow = estimate from statements · solid = voting record
Money · FEC through Sep 30, 2026
Raised, 2026
From individuals
Itemized · 62% of individual
Named donors
The FEC doesn't name donors who give under $200, so their gifts count in Raised but not Itemized.
In their own words
“I'm committed to protecting them for generations to come.”
“My first bill to pass the House was to make sure veterans wouldn’t go hungry.”
“I'll always fight to make sure they get the healthcare, benefits, and pay they've earned.”
On the ballot with them · Alaska
AK Governor · open seatKreiss-Tomkins (D) vs. Wilson (R)88% · 12%AK-ALBegich (R) vs. Hill (I)82% · 21%
Statement estimate · odds are a market close, not a poll