U.S. House · Alaska · Nov 3 · 7 days out

Alaska House, at-large

Nick Begich (Republican, incumbent) against Bill Hill (Independent).

Nick Begich

Republican · incumbent · no positions yet

82%party to win

vs.

Bill Hill

Independent · challenger · estimate L-lean 21

21%party to win

Also running

Eric HafnerDemocrat · no positions yet—

Where they stand

Estimates

Read from the campaign’s own words; no voting record yet.

Bill Hillestimate

IssueLeftCenterRight

Overall

Federal budget, taxes and spending

▸

Business, finance and labor

▸

Trade and industrial policy

▸

Foreign policy, trade and defense

▸

Health care

▸

Education

▸

Immigration

▸

Crime and justice

▸

Guns

▸

Energy, environment, land and agriculture

▸

Money

FEC to Sep 30

RaisedBegich

$6.3MHill

$2.3MItemized, named donorsBegich

$1.9MHill

$1.6MNamed donorsBegich

2,797Hill

1,466Itemized from AlaskaBegich

40%Hill

29%

The FEC doesn't name donors who give under $200, so their gifts count in Raised but not Itemized.

In their own words

Campaign sites and X

“This is Delivering for Alaska.” Begich · X post · Oct 14 · ↗

“Let's make things work for Hardworking Alaskans”

“I support small business and middle class tax relief.” Hill · Campaign site · Sep 30 · ↗

All market contracts · Kalshi and Polymarket · 4

Candidate	Platform	Contract	Bid	Ask	Last	Volume
Nick Begich	Kalshi	this candidate	78%	82%	82%	$6,669	Open ↗
Bill Hill	Kalshi	this candidate	20%	21%	21%	$10,585	Open ↗
Bill Hill	Kalshi	this candidate	19%	24%	24%	$8,285	Open ↗
Bill Hill	Polymarket	this candidate	22%	23%	21%	$4,135	Open ↗

Prices in cents on the dollar, read Oct 27, 2026. A party contract pays if that party wins the seat.

Also on the Alaska ballot

Senate

Peltola (D) 75% · Sullivan (R) 25%

Governor · open seat

Kreiss-Tomkins (D) 88% · Wilson (R) 12%

Statement estimate · odds are a market close, not a poll