Justin Wagner
Candidate · U.S. House · Pennsylvania
Democrat · Challenger6%
Party to win · Kalshi, Oct 27, 2026
Running for
OfficeU.S. House
SeatPennsylvania, district 16
AgainstMike Kelly (R), incumbent
ElectionNov 3, 2026 · 7 days
StandingChallenger
BallotDirectory listing
Links
The district
PA-16 · Pennsylvania
Roster checked Sep 29, 2026. Listed as: Engineer & Iraq War Veteran.
The campaign · in their wordsjustinwagnerforcongress.com · read Oct 19, 2026 ↗
Plank 1 · campaign site
Townhall promise
“I will hold open, in-person town halls across every corner of this district-regularly, publicly announced, and open to every resident, no matter their politics.”
Plank 2 · campaign site
Defend Democracy. Pass Common-Sense Reform
“I will vote to limit service to a maximum of 12 years total-6 terms in the House and 2 terms in the Senate.”
Page titles and first lines from the campaign's own site, unedited. 9 pages read.
Where They Stand
Statement estimateNo votes yet, so this is read from the campaign’s own words, on the same scale as a member’s record.
Overall
from 10 statements
Left
Issue · by emphasisLeftCenterRightReadTalks about
The race · Pennsylvania House, district 16 · 7 days out
Mike KellyRepublican · incumbent · Rt-lean 18 on the record95%Justin WagnerDemocrat · challenger · Left 35 from statements6%1835
53 points apart · hollow = estimate, solid = record
Money · FEC through Sep 30, 2026
$223k
Raised
$222k
From individuals
Named donors · gifts over $200
$148k
Itemized · 67% of individual
173
Named donors
89%
Itemized from Pennsylvania
By occupation
$106k
$7k
$5k
$4k
$3k
By state
$131k
$10k
$3k
$1k
$750
The FEC doesn't name donors who give under $200, so their gifts count in Raised but not Itemized.
In their own words
“I support a strong federal guarantee of the right to choose”
“I will co-sponsor and vote to pass The Medicare For All Act (H.R. 3069).”
“I will oppose any cuts to Medicare or Medicaid and fight to strengthen both programs.”
On the ballot with them · Pennsylvania, Nov 3, 2026
PA Governor
Josh Shapiro (D) · 98%
vs. Stacy Garrity (R) · 3%
PA-1
Brian Fitzpatrick (R) · 56%
vs. Bob Harvie (D) · 45%
PA-2
Brendan Boyle (D) · 97%
vs. Jessica Arriaga (R) · 2%
PA-3 · open seat
Chris Rabb (D) · 98%
1 on file
PA-4
Madeleine Dean (D) · 95%
vs. Aurora Stuski (R) · 4%
PA-5
Mary Gay Scanlon (D) · 97%
vs. Nick Manganaro (R) · 2%
Statement estimate · odds are a market close, not a poll
Justin Wagner
Candidate · U.S. House · Pennsylvania
Democrat · Challenger6%
Party to win · Kalshi
Oct 27, 2026 snapshot
7
Days to Nov 3
vs. Kelly (R), inc.
The campaign · in their wordsRead Oct 19, 2026 ↗
Plank 1
Townhall promise
“I will hold open, in-person town halls across every corner of this district-regularly, publicly announced, and open to every resident, no matter their politics.”
Plank 2
Defend Democracy. Pass Common-Sense Reform
“I will vote to limit service to a maximum of 12 years total-6 terms in the House and 2 terms in the Senate.”
Page titles and first lines from the campaign's site, unedited · justinwagnerforcongress.com
Where They Stand
EstimateNo votes yet, so this is read from the campaign’s own words.
Issue · by emphasisRead · talks about
Budget and taxesLeft 44
Left, 44 points from center
Health careLeft 45
Left, 45 points from center
EducationLeft 40
Left, 40 points from center
TradeLeft 50
Left, 50 points from center
ImmigrationLeft 28
Left, 28 points from center
Energy and landLeft 35
Left, 35 points from center
Housing and techLeft 45
Left, 45 points from center
GunsL-lean 17
L-lean, 17 points from center
Crime and justiceLeft 23
Left, 23 points from center
Foreign policyLeft 28
Left, 28 points from center
Federal powerLeft 30
Left, 30 points from center
The race · PA-16 · 7 days out
Mike KellyRepublican · incumbent · Rt-lean 18 on the record95%Justin WagnerDemocrat · challenger · Left 35 from statements6%1835
Hollow = estimate from statements · solid = voting record
Money · FEC through Sep 30, 2026
Raised, 2026
From individuals
Itemized · 67% of individual
Named donors
The FEC doesn't name donors who give under $200, so their gifts count in Raised but not Itemized.
In their own words
“I support a strong federal guarantee of the right to choose”
“I will co-sponsor and vote to pass The Medicare For All Act (H.R. 3069).”
“I will oppose any cuts to Medicare or Medicaid and fight to strengthen both programs.”
On the ballot with them · Pennsylvania
PA GovernorShapiro (D) vs. Garrity (R)98% · 3%PA-1Fitzpatrick (R) vs. Harvie (D)56% · 45%PA-2Boyle (D) vs. Arriaga (R)97% · 2%PA-3 · open seatRabb (D)98%PA-4Dean (D) vs. Stuski (R)95% · 4%PA-5Scanlon (D) vs. Manganaro (R)97% · 2%
All 18 Pennsylvania races →Statement estimate · odds are a market close, not a poll