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U.S. House · Pennsylvania · Nov 3 · 7 days out
Pennsylvania House, district 5
Mary Gay Scanlon (Democrat, incumbent) against Nick Manganaro (Republican).
Where they stand · 62 points apart
Manganaro is an estimateSolid is a voting record; hollow is read from the campaign’s own words. Biggest gaps first.
Mary Gay ScanlonrecordNick Manganaroestimate
Money
FEC to Sep 30RaisedScanlon$1.3MManganaro$21kItemized, named donorsScanlon$593kManganaro$9kNamed donorsScanlon698Manganaro7Itemized from PennsylvaniaScanlon79%Manganaro94%
The FEC doesn't name donors who give under $200, so their gifts count in Raised but not Itemized.
All market contracts · Kalshi and Polymarket · 4
| Candidate | Platform | Contract | Bid | Ask | Last | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mary Gay Scanlon | Kalshi | Democrat wins | 98% | >99% | 99% | $560 | Open ↗ |
| Mary Gay Scanlon | Polymarket | Democrat wins | 97% | 99% | 97% | $13,971 | Open ↗ |
| Nick Manganaro | Kalshi | Republican wins | <1% | 2% | <1% | $1,344 | Open ↗ |
| Nick Manganaro | Polymarket | Republican wins | 1% | 3% | 2% | $24,780 | Open ↗ |
Prices in cents on the dollar, read Oct 27, 2026. A party contract pays if that party wins the seat.
Also on the Pennsylvania ballot
All 17 →Statement estimate · odds are a market close, not a poll