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Governor · Pennsylvania · Nov 3 · 7 days out
Pennsylvania Governor
Josh Shapiro (Democrat, incumbent) against Stacy Garrity (Republican).
Where they stand · 48 points apart
EstimatesHollow dots are read from each campaign’s own words; nobody here has a voting record yet. Biggest gaps first.
Josh ShapiroestimateStacy Garrityestimate
Money
Pennsylvania Department of State to Sep 14RaisedShapiro$53.6MGarrity$5.3MItemized, named donorsShapiro$36MGarrity$3.4MNamed donorsShapiro26,054Garrity6,709Itemized from PennsylvaniaShapiro42%Garrity95%
Pennsylvania Department of State names only donors who give over $50, so smaller gifts count in Raised but not Itemized.
All market contracts · Kalshi and Polymarket · 4
| Candidate | Platform | Contract | Bid | Ask | Last | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josh Shapiro | Kalshi | Democrat wins | 97% | 98% | 98% | $292,034 | Open ↗ |
| Josh Shapiro | Polymarket | Democrat wins | 97% | 98% | 99% | $12,388 | Open ↗ |
| Stacy Garrity | Kalshi | Republican wins | 3% | 3% | 3% | $719,659 | Open ↗ |
| Stacy Garrity | Polymarket | Republican wins | 2% | 3% | 3% | $52,077 | Open ↗ |
Prices in cents on the dollar, read Oct 27, 2026. A party contract pays if that party wins the seat.
Also on the Pennsylvania ballot
All 17 →Statement estimate · odds are a market close, not a poll