Darren Bailey
Candidate · Governor · Illinois
Republican · Challenger4%
Party to win · Kalshi, Oct 27, 2026
▼ 4 pts since April
Running for
OfficeGovernor
SeatIllinois, statewide
AgainstJ.B. Pritzker (D), incumbent
ElectionNov 3, 2026 · 7 days
StandingChallenger
BallotDirectory listing
Links
Websitebaileyforillinois.com ↗
X@DarrenBaileyIL ↗ Campaign
Running statewide
Illinois · Governor
Roster checked Sep 29, 2026. Listed as: Ex-State Sen., Ex-State Rep., Farmer, '22 Nominee & '24 US Rep Candidate.
The campaign · in their wordsbaileyforillinois.com · read Oct 19, 2026 ↗
“Bold & Courageous Leadership”
Plank 1 · campaign site
Ensuring Quality Education for Every Child
“As governor, he will fight to ensure that our schools are fully funded, empower parents to make the best choices for their children, and support teachers with the resources they need to succeed.”
Plank 2 · campaign site
Protecting Our Communities
“As governor, he will stand with law enforcement, not against them-providing the tools, training, and support officers need to do their jobs effectively.”
Plank 3 · campaign site
Making Illinois Affordable Again
“As governor, he will fight to lower taxes, cut wasteful government spending, and bring real fiscal responsibility back to Springfield.”
Page titles and first lines from the campaign's own site, unedited. 35 pages read.
Where They Stand
Statement estimateNo votes yet, so this is read from the campaign’s own words, on the same scale as a member’s record.
Overall
from 9 statements
Right
Issue · by emphasisLeftCenterRightReadTalks about
Odds over time · Kalshi daily closes
Pritzker (D) — 97%Bailey (R) — 4%
The race · Illinois Governor · 7 days out
J.B. PritzkerDemocrat · incumbent · Left 28 from statements97%Darren BaileyRepublican · challenger · Right 33 from statements4%2833
61 points apart · hollow = estimate, solid = record
In their own words
“Cut billions in spending”
“Repeal the SAFE-T Act, restore cash bail”
“sign mandatory pretrial detention into law”
On the ballot with them · Illinois, Nov 3, 2026
IL Senate · open seat
Juliana Stratton (D) · 98%
vs. Don Tracy (R) · 2%
IL-1
Jonathan Jackson (D) · 97%
vs. Christian Maxwell (R) · 5%
IL-2 · open seat
Donna Miller (D) · 97%
vs. Mike Noack (R) · 3%
IL-3
Delia Ramirez (D) · 97%
vs. Angel Oakley (R) · 2%
IL-4 · open seat
Patty Garcia (D) · 96%
vs. Chris Getty (I) · 9%
IL-5
Mike Quigley (D) · 95%
vs. Tommy Hanson (R) · 2%
Statement estimate · odds are a market close, not a poll
Darren Bailey
Candidate · Governor · Illinois
Republican · Challenger4%
Party to win · Kalshi
▼ 4 pts since April
7
Days to Nov 3
vs. Pritzker (D), inc.
The campaign · in their wordsRead Oct 19, 2026 ↗
“Bold & Courageous Leadership”
Plank 1
Ensuring Quality Education for Every Child
“As governor, he will fight to ensure that our schools are fully funded, empower parents to make the best choices for their children, and support teachers with the resources they need to succeed.”
Plank 2
Protecting Our Communities
“As governor, he will stand with law enforcement, not against them-providing the tools, training, and support officers need to do their jobs effectively.”
Plank 3
Making Illinois Affordable Again
“As governor, he will fight to lower taxes, cut wasteful government spending, and bring real fiscal responsibility back to Springfield.”
Page titles and first lines from the campaign's site, unedited · baileyforillinois.com
Where They Stand
EstimateNo votes yet, so this is read from the campaign’s own words.
Issue · by emphasisRead · talks about
Crime and justiceRight 48
Right, 48 points from center
ImmigrationRight 48
Right, 48 points from center
Budget and taxesRight 23
Right, 23 points from center
Housing and techRt-lean 12
Rt-lean, 12 points from center
EducationMixed
Mixed
Energy and landRt-lean 15
Rt-lean, 15 points from center
Civil rightsRight 36
Right, 36 points from center
Federal powerL-lean 18
L-lean, 18 points from center
Health careMixed
Mixed
Odds over time · Kalshi
Pritzker 97%Bailey 4%
The race · IL Governor · 7 days out
J.B. PritzkerDemocrat · incumbent · Left 28 from statements97%Darren BaileyRepublican · challenger · Right 33 from statements4%2833
Hollow = estimate from statements · solid = voting record
In their own words
“Cut billions in spending”
“Repeal the SAFE-T Act, restore cash bail”
“sign mandatory pretrial detention into law”
On the ballot with them · Illinois
IL Senate · open seatStratton (D) vs. Tracy (R)98% · 2%IL-1Jackson (D) vs. Maxwell (R)97% · 5%IL-2 · open seatMiller (D) vs. Noack (R)97% · 3%IL-3Ramirez (D) vs. Oakley (R)97% · 2%IL-4 · open seatGarcia (D) vs. Getty (I)96% · 9%IL-5Quigley (D) vs. Hanson (R)95% · 2%
All 19 Illinois races →Statement estimate · odds are a market close, not a poll