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U.S. House · Illinois · Nov 3 · 7 days out
Illinois House, district 5
Mike Quigley (Democrat, incumbent) against Tommy Hanson (Republican).
Where they stand · 55 points apart
Hanson is an estimateSolid is a voting record; hollow is read from the campaign’s own words. Biggest gaps first.
Mike QuigleyrecordTommy Hansonestimate
Money
FEC to Sep 30RaisedQuigley$996kHanson—Itemized, named donorsQuigley$249kHanson—Named donorsQuigley175Hanson—Itemized from IllinoisQuigley71%Hanson—
The FEC doesn't name donors who give under $200, so their gifts count in Raised but not Itemized.
In their own words
Campaign sites and X“I enjoyed meeting with our neighbors at Forest Glen Community Club’s annual meeting! It’s always great to meet with our community members and hear their concerns.” Quigley · X post · Oct 18 · ↗
“keeping violent criminals in jail as long as legally possible... No early release and no reduced bail.” Hanson · Campaign site · Sep 30 · ↗
All market contracts · Kalshi and Polymarket · 4
| Candidate | Platform | Contract | Bid | Ask | Last | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mike Quigley | Kalshi | Democrat wins | 96% | 98% | 97% | $1,059 | Open ↗ |
| Mike Quigley | Polymarket | Democrat wins | 96% | 97% | 95% | $18,726 | Open ↗ |
| Tommy Hanson | Kalshi | Republican wins | 2% | 4% | 6% | $959 | Open ↗ |
| Tommy Hanson | Polymarket | Republican wins | 1% | 4% | 2% | $16,752 | Open ↗ |
Prices in cents on the dollar, read Oct 27, 2026. A party contract pays if that party wins the seat.
Also on the Illinois ballot
All 18 →Statement estimate · odds are a market close, not a poll