U.S. House · Illinois · Nov 3 · 7 days out

Illinois House, district 2

Donna Miller (Democrat) against Mike Noack (Republican).

Democrat · challenger · estimate Left 32

97%party to win

vs.

Republican · challenger · estimate Right 24

3%party to win

Where they stand · 56 points apart

Estimates

Hollow dots are read from each campaign’s own words; nobody here has a voting record yet. Biggest gaps first.

Donna MillerestimateMike Noackestimate

Issue · biggest gap firstLeftCenterRightApart

Overall

3224

56 pts

Federal budget, taxes and spending

2835

63 pts ▸

Health care

3528

63 pts ▸

Crime and justice

2313

10 pts ▸

FEC to Sep 30

RaisedMiller

$2.7MNoack

—Itemized, named donorsMiller

$2.4MNoack

—Named donorsMiller

1,758Noack

—Itemized from IllinoisMiller

25%Noack

—

The FEC doesn't name donors who give under $200, so their gifts count in Raised but not Itemized.

Campaign sites and X

“Health care is a human right and I support a Medicare for All framework.” Miller · Campaign site · Oct 20 · ↗

“Trucker. Taxpayer. Fed Up. That's Why He's Running.”

“Mike doesn’t want government-run healthcare” Noack · Campaign site · Sep 30 · ↗

All market contracts · Kalshi and Polymarket · 4

Candidate	Platform	Contract	Bid	Ask	Last	Volume
Donna Miller	Kalshi	Democrat wins	96%	98%	98%	$879	Open ↗
Donna Miller	Polymarket	Democrat wins	95%	98%	97%	$17,544	Open ↗
Mike Noack	Kalshi	Republican wins	<1%	4%	4%	$276	Open ↗
Mike Noack	Polymarket	Republican wins	1%	5%	3%	$19,361	Open ↗

Prices in cents on the dollar, read Oct 27, 2026. A party contract pays if that party wins the seat.

Also on the Illinois ballot

Senate · open seat

Governor

House · IL-1

House · IL-3

House · IL-4

House · IL-5

Statement estimate · odds are a market close, not a poll