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U.S. House · Wisconsin · Nov 3 · 7 days out
Wisconsin House, district 8
Tony Wied (Republican, incumbent) against Rick Crosson (Democrat).
Where they stand · 51 points apart
Crosson is an estimateSolid is a voting record; hollow is read from the campaign’s own words. Biggest gaps first.
Tony WiedrecordRick Crossonestimate
Money
FEC to Sep 30RaisedWied$1.3MCrosson$142kItemized, named donorsWied$440kCrosson$70kNamed donorsWied326Crosson131Itemized from WisconsinWied69%Crosson91%
The FEC doesn't name donors who give under $200, so their gifts count in Raised but not Itemized.
In their own words
Campaign sites and X“Genuine leadership for wisconsin”
“A rally in Oconto, Packers game day, and unlimited booyah. We had the perfect day on the campaign trail! #WI08” Wied · X post · Oct 19 · ↗
“Veteran Leadership.Fighting for Wisconsinites.”
“ending arbitrary and for-profit detention, guaranteeing due process” Crosson · Campaign site · Sep 30 · ↗
All market contracts · Kalshi and Polymarket · 4
| Candidate | Platform | Contract | Bid | Ask | Last | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tony Wied | Kalshi | Republican wins | 88% | 89% | 89% | $13,933 | Open ↗ |
| Tony Wied | Polymarket | Republican wins | 89% | 90% | 90% | $21,787 | Open ↗ |
| Rick Crosson | Kalshi | Democrat wins | 12% | 13% | 13% | $14,526 | Open ↗ |
| Rick Crosson | Polymarket | Democrat wins | 10% | 11% | 11% | $9,932 | Open ↗ |
Prices in cents on the dollar, read Oct 27, 2026. A party contract pays if that party wins the seat.
Also on the Wisconsin ballot
All 8 →Statement estimate · odds are a market close, not a poll