U.S. House · Wisconsin · Nov 3 · 7 days out

Wisconsin House, district 3

Rebecca Cooke (Democrat) against Derrick Van Orden (Republican, incumbent).

Rebecca Cooke

Democrat · challenger · estimate Left 24

79%party to win

vs.

Derrick Van Orden

Republican · incumbent · record Rt-lean 20

23%party to win

Where they stand · 45 points apart

Cooke is an estimate

Solid is a voting record; hollow is read from the campaign’s own words. Biggest gaps first.

Rebecca CookeestimateDerrick Van Ordenrecord

Issue · biggest gap firstLeftCenterRightApart

Overall

2420

45 pts

Trade and industrial policy

3819

57 pts ▸

Education

3321

53 pts ▸

Housing, transportation, technology and vice

3321

53 pts ▸

Energy, environment, land and agriculture

2924

52 pts ▸

Federal budget, taxes and spending

3319

51 pts ▸

Foreign policy, trade and defense

2823

50 pts ▸

Civil rights, gender and religion

2523

48 pts ▸

Health care

2317

40 pts ▸

Immigration

1814

32 pts ▸

Business, finance and labor

2318

4 pts ▸

Crime and justice

2825

3 pts ▸

Money

FEC to Sep 30

RaisedCooke

$23.9MOrden

$8.8MItemized, named donorsCooke

$6.7MOrden

$3.1MNamed donorsCooke

7,555Orden

5,476Itemized from WisconsinCooke

28%Orden

14%

The FEC doesn't name donors who give under $200, so their gifts count in Raised but not Itemized.

In their own words

Campaign sites and X

“Building opportunities for working class Wisconsinites.”

“Unabashedly support the upholding of Roe vs. Wade” Cooke · Campaign site · Sep 30 · ↗

“Life, Liberty, & the Pursuit of Happiness”

“Do you mean Chameleon Cook , @RebeccaforWI?” Orden · X post · Oct 20 · ↗

All market contracts · Kalshi and Polymarket · 4

Candidate	Platform	Contract	Bid	Ask	Last	Volume
Rebecca Cooke	Kalshi	Democrat wins	77%	79%	79%	$121,551	Open ↗
Rebecca Cooke	Polymarket	Democrat wins	77%	78%	76%	$6,148	Open ↗
Derrick Van Orden	Kalshi	Republican wins	22%	23%	23%	$26,359	Open ↗
Derrick Van Orden	Polymarket	Republican wins	22%	23%	22%	$4,875	Open ↗

Prices in cents on the dollar, read Oct 27, 2026. A party contract pays if that party wins the seat.

Also on the Wisconsin ballot

All 8 →

Governor · open seat

Crowley (D) 79% · Tiffany (R) 22%

House · WI-1

Steil (R) 55% · Berman (D) 45%

House · WI-2

Pocan (D) 97%

House · WI-4

Moore (D) 96% · Rogers (R) 1%

House · WI-5

Fitzgerald (R) 97% · Beck (D) 4%

House · WI-6

Grothman (R) 91% · Smith (D) 9%

Statement estimate · odds are a market close, not a poll