Governor · Wisconsin · Nov 3 · 7 days out

Wisconsin Governor

David Crowley (Democrat) against Tom Tiffany (Republican).

Democrat · challenger · estimate Left 29

79%▲ 1 since April

vs.

Republican · challenger · estimate Right 29

22%▲ 1 since April

Party to win · Kalshi daily close, Oct 27All market contracts ▸

Where they stand · 58 points apart

Estimates

Hollow dots are read from each campaign’s own words; nobody here has a voting record yet. Biggest gaps first.

David CrowleyestimateTom Tiffanyestimate

Issue · biggest gap firstLeftCenterRightApart

Overall

2929

58 pts

Immigration

2843

70 pts ▸

Crime and justice

2335

58 pts ▸

Federal budget, taxes and spending

2526

51 pts ▸

Energy, environment, land and agriculture

257

32 pts ▸

Campaign sites and X

“Lowering costs for working families.”

“Repeal Act 10 and restore full collective bargaining rights for public sector workers” Crowley · Campaign site · Sep 30 · ↗

“End the 400-year property tax hike” Tiffany · X post · Oct 15 · ↗

All market contracts · Kalshi and Polymarket · 4

Candidate	Platform	Contract	Bid	Ask	Last	Volume
David Crowley	Kalshi	Democrat wins	79%	80%	79%	$555,166	Open ↗
David Crowley	Polymarket	Democrat wins	80%	81%	80%	$425,654	Open ↗
Tom Tiffany	Kalshi	Republican wins	21%	22%	22%	$950,032	Open ↗
Tom Tiffany	Polymarket	Republican wins	19%	20%	20%	$401,146	Open ↗

Prices in cents on the dollar, read Oct 27, 2026. A party contract pays if that party wins the seat.

Also on the Wisconsin ballot

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House · WI-5

House · WI-6

Statement estimate · odds are a market close, not a poll