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U.S. House · Wisconsin · Nov 3 · 7 days out
Wisconsin House, district 1
Bryan Steil (Republican, incumbent) against Mitchell Berman (Democrat).
Where they stand · 51 points apart
Berman is an estimateSolid is a voting record; hollow is read from the campaign’s own words. Biggest gaps first.
Bryan SteilrecordMitchell Bermanestimate
Money
FEC to Sep 30RaisedSteil$6.3MBerman$1.6MItemized, named donorsSteil$1.3MBerman$907kNamed donorsSteil1,173Berman1,164Itemized from WisconsinSteil40%Berman54%
The FEC doesn't name donors who give under $200, so their gifts count in Raised but not Itemized.
All market contracts · Kalshi and Polymarket · 4
| Candidate | Platform | Contract | Bid | Ask | Last | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bryan Steil | Kalshi | Republican wins | 54% | 55% | 55% | $86,705 | Open ↗ |
| Bryan Steil | Polymarket | Republican wins | 54% | 56% | 54% | $13,093 | Open ↗ |
| Mitchell Berman | Kalshi | Democrat wins | 44% | 45% | 45% | $57,123 | Open ↗ |
| Mitchell Berman | Polymarket | Democrat wins | 44% | 46% | 46% | $14,005 | Open ↗ |
Prices in cents on the dollar, read Oct 27, 2026. A party contract pays if that party wins the seat.
Also on the Wisconsin ballot
All 8 →Statement estimate · odds are a market close, not a poll