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U.S. House · Wisconsin · Nov 3 · 7 days out
Wisconsin House, district 7
Michael Alfonso (Republican) against Fred Clark (Democrat).
Where they stand · 65 points apart
EstimatesHollow dots are read from each campaign’s own words; nobody here has a voting record yet. Biggest gaps first.
Michael AlfonsoestimateFred Clarkestimate
Money
FEC to Sep 30RaisedAlfonso$1.7MClark$725kItemized, named donorsAlfonso$1.2MClark$511kNamed donorsAlfonso476Clark670Itemized from WisconsinAlfonso29%Clark89%
The FEC doesn't name donors who give under $200, so their gifts count in Raised but not Itemized.
All market contracts · Kalshi and Polymarket · 4
| Candidate | Platform | Contract | Bid | Ask | Last | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Alfonso | Kalshi | Republican wins | 94% | 94% | 93% | $4,756 | Open ↗ |
| Michael Alfonso | Polymarket | Republican wins | 94% | 95% | 95% | $28,547 | Open ↗ |
| Fred Clark | Kalshi | Democrat wins | 6% | 6% | 6% | $8,081 | Open ↗ |
| Fred Clark | Polymarket | Democrat wins | 3% | 6% | 4% | $49,853 | Open ↗ |
Prices in cents on the dollar, read Oct 27, 2026. A party contract pays if that party wins the seat.
Also on the Wisconsin ballot
All 8 →Statement estimate · odds are a market close, not a poll