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U.S. House · Wisconsin · Nov 3 · 7 days out
Wisconsin House, district 6
Glenn Grothman (Republican, incumbent) against Brad Smith (Democrat).
Where they stand · 53 points apart
Smith is an estimateSolid is a voting record; hollow is read from the campaign’s own words. Biggest gaps first.
Glenn GrothmanrecordBrad Smithestimate
Money
FEC to Sep 30RaisedGrothman$1.1MSmith$295kItemized, named donorsGrothman$648kSmith$195kNamed donorsGrothman566Smith294Itemized from WisconsinGrothman85%Smith96%
The FEC doesn't name donors who give under $200, so their gifts count in Raised but not Itemized.
In their own words
Campaign sites and X“If you were affected by the storms in July, please contact FEMA to request aid. If you need assistance in doing this, please call my office. We are ready to help.” Grothman · X post · Oct 19 · ↗
“Forward ★Together”
“He will fight to strengthen Medicaid and protect the Affordable Care Act” Smith · Campaign site · Sep 30 · ↗
All market contracts · Kalshi and Polymarket · 4
| Candidate | Platform | Contract | Bid | Ask | Last | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Glenn Grothman | Kalshi | Republican wins | 90% | 91% | 92% | $21,454 | Open ↗ |
| Glenn Grothman | Polymarket | Republican wins | 91% | 92% | 91% | $25,352 | Open ↗ |
| Brad Smith | Kalshi | Democrat wins | 9% | 10% | 9% | $25,939 | Open ↗ |
| Brad Smith | Polymarket | Democrat wins | 9% | 9% | 9% | $21,840 | Open ↗ |
Prices in cents on the dollar, read Oct 27, 2026. A party contract pays if that party wins the seat.
Also on the Wisconsin ballot
All 8 →Statement estimate · odds are a market close, not a poll